World Championship - Play OffsWORLD CUP
MexicoMexico
VS
EcuadorEcuador
Wed, 01 Jul 2026, 01:00 UTC

Mexico vs Ecuador — stats, head-to-head and prediction

The model read — Match result

56%Mexico
Mexico win56%
Draw27%
Ecuador win17%
Expected goals: 2.1Model confidence: 80%

Goals markets — Over / Under

Over 0.588%
Under 3.584%
Over 1.567%
Under 2.563%
Over 2.537%
Both Teams Score35%

Recent form

Mexico
↑ Surging
WWWWWW
Matches
10
Points / game
2.60
Goals for / game
2.00
Goals against / game
0.20
Over 2.5 rate
30%
BTTS rate
20%
Goals vs xG · Overperforming xG — may regress+0.5
Ecuador
→ Steady
WDLWWD
Matches
10
Points / game
1.70
Goals for / game
1.20
Goals against / game
0.60
Over 2.5 rate
30%
BTTS rate
50%
Goals vs xG · Underperforming xG — may improve-0.4

Head-to-head

14 Oct 25Mexico11Ecuador
30 Jun 24Mexico00Ecuador
05 Jun 22Mexico00Ecuador
27 Oct 21Mexico23Ecuador
09 Jun 19Mexico32Ecuador
19 Jun 15Mexico12Ecuador
28 Mar 15Mexico10Ecuador
31 May 14Mexico31Ecuador

Premium markets

Premium pick · teaser
Shots on Target Under 11.5
87%
Corners
🔒 Pro
Cards
🔒 Pro
Total Shots
🔒 Pro
Shots on Target
🔒 Pro
Goalkeeper Saves
🔒 Pro
1st & 2nd Half
🔒 Pro

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Corners, cards, shots, goalkeeper saves, half-time markets, value edges and the reasoning behind every number.

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